Real Estate

Rethinking Disaster Insurance and the Real Estate Market

October 4, 2024

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Rethinking Disaster Insurance and the Real Estate Market

A New Approach to Natural Disaster Coverage

In recent years, we’ve seen a surge in natural disasters that have put immense strain on the insurance industry. From wildfires to floods, tornadoes to hurricanes, the costs have become increasingly untenable for insurers. As a result, many are pulling out of high-risk areas, leaving homeowners vulnerable. But what if there’s a solution hiding in plain sight?

Consider this: the United States regularly provides billions in foreign aid. In the past year alone, we’ve seen substantial sums allocated to various countries:

  • Ukraine: $24 billion
  • Israel: $11.3 billion
  • Ethiopia: $1.95 billion
  • Jordan: $1.6 billion
  • Egypt: $1.4 billion
  • Afghanistan: $1.1 billion
  • Somalia: $1.1 billion
  • Yemen: $1 billion
  • Congo: Nearly $1 billion
  • Spain: Nearly $1 billion

Given this level of international support, why not redirect some of these resources to protect our own citizens? Here’s a radical proposal: eliminate private disaster insurance altogether and have the federal government cover all costs associated with natural disasters. This would include temporary housing, per diems, rebuilding costs – everything.

The current system, where disaster victims might receive a mere $750 in aid while their entire town lies in ruins, seems woefully inadequate when compared to our international expenditures. It’s time we prioritize our own taxpayers who fund these global initiatives.

The Mortgage Rate Conundrum

Shifting gears to the mortgage market, let’s look at some intriguing statistics:

  • 83.7% of homeowners with a mortgage have a rate of 6% or lower
  • 16.3% have a rate greater than 6%
  • 9.3% have a rate in the 5% range

These numbers present a significant opportunity for the mortgage industry, particularly in refinancing. The current high mortgage rates have created what’s known as a “lock-in effect.” According to a national housing survey by Fannie Mae:

  • 21% of mortgage-borrowing homeowners cite their current low mortgage rate as the primary reason for staying in their home longer than anticipated
  • 19% simply like their current home
  • 13% point to high home prices as a deterrent to moving

The Inflation-Refinance Connection

Here’s a thought-provoking question: Could our current high inflation be a deliberate strategy to encourage homeowners to refinance out of their ultra-low 2-3% mortgages? While this may not be the primary driver of inflation, it certainly works to the advantage of the real estate and mortgage industries.

When a significant portion of homeowners secured those rock-bottom rates, they essentially went into “hibernation” from a real estate perspective. This disrupted the normal sales cycle, which is problematic considering that housing is the largest sector of the U.S. economy by a wide margin.

The takeaway for mortgage professionals is clear: nearly 20% of current mortgage holders could benefit from a rate-and-term refinance. This represents a significant pool of potential clients ripe for the picking.

The Commission Advertising Controversy

Lastly, let’s address a contentious issue in the real estate industry. Some state associations and Multiple Listing Services (MLS) are reportedly telling realtors they cannot advertise buyer-side commissions, even outside of the MLS. This stance is not only questionable but potentially harmful to sellers.

As a seller, I would expect my agent to do everything possible to market my property effectively, including advertising the commission I’m willing to pay to the buyer’s agent. This commission is a tool to help sell my house faster and for top dollar. Preventing agents from advertising this information could be seen as working against the seller’s best interests.

From a legal standpoint, this restriction likely infringes on freedom of speech. While an MLS can set rules for listings within its system, it cannot dictate what agents say or do outside of that context.

To all real estate agents: in the best interest of your sellers, consider posting commission information on all your marketing and social media channels. It’s not just about following rules; it’s about providing the best service to your clients.

In conclusion, as we navigate these complex issues in insurance, mortgages, and real estate practices, it’s crucial to keep the interests of homeowners and sellers at the forefront. Sometimes, challenging the status quo is necessary to create a more equitable and efficient market for all.